Lawrence Economics Blog

Creative Instruction

Lawrence’s First Annual Pick the Nobel Contest

The Nobel Prize in economics will be awarded next week, and this kicks off the Official Lawrence University Pick the Economics Nobel Winner competition.* You should e-mail your picks to me. One entry per person.

So you might be asking yourself who is even in the running. Well, you can find the latest odds here.

At this point, you might be saying to yourself, “hold the phone, you can bet on stuff like that?” Indeed, you can bet on just about anything now, though in the polite academic ease we call these “prediction markets.” There is very much a burgeoning field of study here, and these markets generally do a better job than polls or pundits at forecasting the future. One point that I find particularly interesting is that these tend to work pretty well even if people are just playing for fun and not real money.

Outside of the wagering angle, it might be interesting to take a look up and down that list and see who you recognize and why. Most of these guys have advanced the field in some way, and understanding their contributions might help you to understand different areas of economics exploration. The odds-on favorite, Eugene Fama, is the man behind the “efficient markets hypothesis,” which arouses passions of all sorts. Can you beat the market? Do prices really convey useful information? What exactly is an “efficient market.” The irony here is that if you believe in efficient markets, you should go ahead and enter Fama in the contest.

Second on the list is Paul Romer, who is a pioneer of endogenous growth theory and the hero of the excellent Knowledge and the Growth of Nations, but he might be better-known to you as the guy who developed Aplia.

There are many others that have made their mark on my thinking. If you take an environmental course, you will learn about Marty Weitzman (prices v. quantities) and Bill Nordhaus (climate change). Paul Milgrom and Oliver Williamson are both central figures in the theory of the firm. The list goes on.

So, email your picks to me. The prize will be awarded at the next Economics Club meeting.

*First prize will be a large sack of pears. Multiple winners will be sorted out by who chose the candidate first. My pick is Ben Bernanke, but I would be happy to cede my pears to anyone else who selects the Fed chair.

Graduate school in economics

The Department of Economics is presenting a Graduate School In Economics advising session on Monday, October 12th at 4:00pm in Briggs 217. We strongly encourage all students (especially sophomores, juniors and seniors) who are considering doing graduate work in Economics to attend. Professors Finkler, Karagyozova, Gerard and Galambos will be answering your questions about applying to graduate school. Please let any one of them know in advance if you plan to attend.

Trip to Wells Fargo

The Career Center has organized a trip to Wells Fargo Wealth Management on Thursday, October 22 (Thursday of reading period). Vans will leave from the Career Center driveway at 8 a.m. and return at approximately 2:30 p.m. The tour of Wells Fargo will take place between 10 and noon at the Menomonee Falls site.

If you’d like to go, stop by the Career Center to sign up.

America’s Most Influential Economist?

Who do you suppose is America’s most influential economist? Paul Krugman? Greg Mankiw? Paul Samuelson? Steve Levitt?

The answer may well be Larry Summers, the chair of the National Economic Council for President Obama. This week’s New Yorker carries a (lengthy) profile that is good reading, especially for its peek at what the White House does (or thinks it does) to manage the US economy.

Who ever said economists were boring? He has had a stellar academic career. He served in several capacities in the Clinton Administration, ultimately replacing Robert Rubin as Treasury Secretary. He was also tapped as the president of Harvard, where he was ousted in spectacular fashion. And now he’s back in Washington amidst the biggest economic calamity since 1980 or 1930, depending on who you listen to.

Enjoy!

If you can’t get enough, Felix Salmon provides some very thought-provoking commentary on the article.

The Long Climb

This week’s Economist magazine features a special report on the world economy. The authors address the current state of the world economy as well as conjecture about a “new normal” for the path forward. This indepth and well referenced report serves as great background for discussion about the state of the world’s economy, how we reached this state, and what are the prospects for the future. Follow the link below to indulge.

http://www.economist.com/surveys/displaystory.cfm?story_id=14530093

Campus Lectures on Agricultural Policy, Thursday Oct 1

Jill Richardson, author of Recipe for America and activist for organic farming, will be on campus Thursday, October 1 to give several talks. Her public address, “The Global Food Crisis,,” is at 7 p.m. in the Wriston Art Center auditorium. She will also be talking with students from 11:10-12:20 in Science 102.

According to the poster I saw, one of her messages is that the world is not short of food, but that the inequitable distribution of food is fundamentally a political problem. This should be a familiar message to economics students, as ag policies are classroom favorites for demonstrating the perversities of government price controls and subsidies. Her solution advocates industry disintegration and decentralization, which should make for some very tasty discussion, so to speak.

For those interested in further reading, Pasour and Rucker provide a (very) critical history in Plowshares and Pork Barrels: The Political Economy of Agriculture.

ACM Off-Campus Study Programs — Everywhere You Want to Be

Scott Ozaroski (Oh-zuh-ros-key ), the Director of Recruiting for the ACM programs, will be visiting Lawrence Wednesday, September 30 to talk about ACM off-campus study programs. He will be having a lunch table and an informational meeting from 11:00-1:00 on the first floor of the Warch Campus Center. At 4:30 he will host an informational meeting for all ACM programs in the Cinema, also at the Warch Campus Center.

Here’s the poster.

For those of you taking Intro Micro, he will visit at the end of class on Wednesday as well.

The Economists’ Voice

We are fortunate to have on-campus access to The Economists’ Voice . These are short, generally readable pieces by some well-known economists.

This week we get an analysis of the cash for clunkers huzzah. It is a nice example of a benefit-cost analysis that monetizes non-market amenities. Those with interest in environmental economics, take notice (you’ll be seeing this again).

Is CARS a Clunker?

Burton A. Abrams, University of Delaware

George R. Parsons, University of Delaware

Summary: Burton Abrams and George Parsons of the University of Delaware evaluate the efficiency of the recently introduced ‘Cash for Clunkers’ program and conclude that the cost exceeds the benefit by approximately $2000 per vehicle.

Did they say $2000 per vehicle? Couldn’t be!

Take a look at the archives. It’s ripe with good reading.

Announcements and information that might be of interest to some of you.

GRADUATE SCHOOL FAIR

The Lawrence University Career Center, along with St. Norbert College and the University of Wisconsin Green Bay is hosting a Graduate School Fair on Tuesday, September 29th from 4-6:00 p.m. at the St. Norbert College campus in De Pere, WI. Transportation will be provided.

More than 20 representatives from graduate and professional schools across the country will be on hand to answer the student’s questions and speak with them 1:1 about admission and testing requirements as well as the type of programs they offer.

Ms. Stephanie Van Handel can help you to connect with these programs. She can also assist you with your grad school application. Please contact Ms. Stephanie Van Handel at 920.832.6561 or stephanie.f.vanhandel@lawrence.edu.

CONSIDERING A CAREER IN ACTUARIAL SCIENCE?

“Actuaries are experts in:

• evaluating the likelihood of future events,

• designing creative ways to reduce the likelihood of undesirable events,

• decreasing the impact of undesirable events that do occur.”

Source: http://www.beanactuary.org/about/whatis.cfm

To become an actuary, you have to pass a series of exams, which require rigorous quantitative training. For more information on the career path of an actuary and the courses offered at Lawrence that will help you in preparing for the exams, please contact Prof. Joy Jordan (joy.jordan@lawrence.edu)

REVIEW OF QUANTITATIVE CONCEPTS

The Center for Teaching and Learning will sponsor workshops to provide students with an opportunity for a review of quantitative concepts. Each workshop will be held in Briggs 420 and is approximately 2 hours long.

Algebra 4:30 PM on Tuesday, September 22, 2009

Workshop 7:00 PM on Monday, September 28, 2009

The goal of the algebra workshop is to share information on an algebra reference sheet that should empower students with a resource to help answer common algebraic questions. The algebra reference sheet will include information on fractions, exponents, algebraic properties, the order of algebraic operations and the FOIL method of multiplying binomials.

Graph 4:30 PM on Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Workshop 7:00 PM on Tuesday, September 29, 2009

The goal of the graph workshop is to share information on a graph reference sheet that should empower students with a resource to help answer common graphing questions. The graph reference sheet will include information on the Cartesian Coordinate System, linear equations in two variables, the slope of a straight line, axis intercepts of a straight line and reading data from a graph.

Word Problem 4:30 PM on Thursday, September 24, 2009

Workshop 7:00 PM on Wednesday, September 30, 2009

The goal of the word problem workshop is to share information on a word problem reference sheet that should empower students with a resource outlining strategies for approaching word problems. The word problem reference sheet will include information on general strategies that encourage students to extract relevant information, organize the information into patterns and work toward the successful completion of word problems.

iOMe challenge

“You’re NOT even working yet –

and your Retirement Plan is already all screwed up! Huh!?

And Guess What? Some old people somewhere aren’t going to fix it for you!

Are YOU up for a Good Challenge?”

If that caught your attention, go to this website to find out more. If you are up to the challenge and have some ideas, you’ll need to talk a faculty member into being your team’s faculty advisor. The winner gets $16,000 and the ears of policymakers in Washington DC.

Aspiring Environmental Economists?

If you are going to be a junior and you are interested in environmental economics and policy, this might be right up your alley. It seems to be well paid and well funded.

———————————————–

Title: 2010 Academic Year EPA Greater Research Opportunities (GRO) Fellowships for Undergraduate Environmental Study

Open Date: 09/15/2009 – Close Date: 12/10/2009

Summary: The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), National Center for

Environmental Research (NCER), invites applications for the Greater Research

Opportunities (GRO) Fellowships for undergraduate environmentally related

study for bachelor’s level students. The deadline for receipt of applications

is December 10, 2009. Subject to availability of funding, the Agency plans to

award approximately 30 new fellowships by July 30, 2010. The fellowship

provides up to $19,250 per year of academic support and $8,000 for internship

support for a combined total of up to $46,500 over the life of the fellowship.

The GRO program enhances and supports quality environmental education for

undergraduates, and thereby encourages them to continue their education beyond

the baccalaureate level, and pursue careers in environmentally related fields.

The actual amount awarded per year will vary depending on the amount of

tuition and fees and the number of months the stipend is required. This

fellowship is intended to help defray costs associated with environmentally

oriented study leading to a bachelor’s degree.

New faculty members

The Economics department is very pleased to welcome David Gerard, who is joining us as an Associate Professor this Fall, and Tsvety Karagyozova, who is joining us as an Assistant Professor this Fall.

Professor Karagyozova comes to Lawrence after a post-doctoral fellowship at the University of British Columbia. She received a Masters Degree in Finance from the University for National and World Economics from her native Bulgaria, an MA degree in Economics from the University of Colorado at Denver, and her PhD in Economics from the University of Connecticut. Her research fields are Financial Economics, Industrial Organization, and Macroeconomics with a particular interest in International Finance. This year she will be teaching courses entitled Topics in International Economics, Applied Financial Economics, Econometrics, Advanced International Economics, and Introductory Macroeconomics.

Professor Gerard holds a BA in American Studies and Economics from Grinnell College and a PhD in Economics from the University of Illinois. He has spent the last six years as executive director of the Center for the Study and Improvement of Regulation in the Department of Engineering & Public Policy at Carnegie Mellon University. His research fields are New Institutional Economics, Environmental and Resource Economics, Regulation & Public Policy, and Law & Economics. This year he will be teaching courses on Regulation, on the Economics of the Firm, Environmental Economics, as well as Microeconomic Theory and Introductory Microeconomics.

Kathi Seifert to speak

Former Kimberly-Clark Executive Vice President Kathi Seifert will speak on Thursday, March 5th at 4:30 in Briggs 223 about NEW North, a north-east Wisconsin organization whose mission is “to harness and promote the region’s resources, talents and creativity for the purposes of sustaining and growing our regional economy.” Ms. Seifert was recently named to Fortune magazine’s list of the 50 Most Powerful Women in Business, and was also named to Forbes.com’s annual list of “America’s Top Businesswomen.”

All are welcome–snacks will be served.

LSB Investment Management Workshop

Is there a future in Investment Management for you? Come find out more about it at the LSB Investment Management workshop on Sunday, February 22nd at 1:45 in Briggs 223. Four very successful Lawrence alumni will share their experience: Chuck Saunders ’84 (Partner and Senior Portfolio Manager, NorthRoad Capital Management, LLC), Bruce Loder ’82 (V.P. Investments/Branch Manager, Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Inc.), Larry Domash ’81 (Partner/Member, Ronin Capital), and Markus Specks ’06 (Financial Analyst, Goldsmith, Agio, Helms & Lynner). This event will be part of the “Shine Light, More Light on Your Future!” conference.

Beginning-of-year meeting

Welcome back! The Economics Department is excited to introduce you to our two new faculty members – David Gerard and Tsvety Karagyozova. We invite you to join the departmental faculty for a reception next Monday evening at 7:00 in Briggs 223. Snacks will be served, and we encourage you to bring along anyone interested in economics.

LSB Commercial Banking Summit

Might you be interested in working in a career at a bank? Investment banks used to be hot, but now even Goldman Sachs is formally a commercial bank. The next LSB event will feature Lawrentians Hugh McLean ’80 (MBA, U. of Chicago; previously Managing Director of The PrivateBank-Chicago; regional manager with Firstar Bank Illinois), David Blowers ’82 (MBA, Kellogg School; President of Personal Financial Services (Illinois) at Northern Trust), and Dennis Klaeser ’80 (AM, Harris School; Chief Financial Officer of PrivateBancorp, Inc.). Come join us in the Barber room (upstairs in Downer) on Saturday, January 24th from 10:00 to 1:00 (lunch included).

LSB Management Consulting workshop

Learn about management consulting this Saturday (11/15) from 9:00 till 3:00 (lunch included) from Lawrentians with decades of experience in the field. All Lawrence students are invited (and lunch is on us!). The sign-up sheet for this event is on the door at 212 Briggs, and you can pick up the preparation materials there, too. Questions? Email Adam Galambos.